RNB Research Market Research Blog, Research Discussion Forum

Lafangey Parindey - "CAN be WATCHED" Based on India wide Opinion Poll of 3649 viewers.

2010-08-20T08:51:00.001-07:00

"CAN be WATCHED" :on a scale of 10 a majority of our viewers respondents gave a score of 4

Peepli Live - Review based on an India wide Opinion Poll of 14347 viewers

2010-08-14T22:54:00.000-07:00

Peepli Live - "Avoidable"
Based on an India wide Opinion Poll of 14347 viewers

Today’s Chanakya Poll: Effect of DTC on SEZ Policy - A Major Setback for the Industry Growth

2010-07-27T05:35:00.001-07:00

SEZ Policy was drafted with an intention to bring an overall boost to the Indian economy attracting the foreign investment & to give a very strong message to the investors worldwide about the strong desire to give them a friendly business environment & policies free from the clutches of bureaucracy & red ribbon mind set of the people involved in the decision making process in India.

SEZ policy was accepted with a very open heart from the investors both in India & overseas. This need no proof as the numbers of applicants to start up a SEZ was good enough & all of a sudden India was looked as a manufacturing hub by large MNC to cater to their needs for the Asian & Middle East market of their products.

Unfortunately the hype created for SEZ was so much that the India’s “Self Interested” Politicians owing to their own political mileage & benefits, first raised the issue of land & depletion of agricultural land, which in itself was very fanatic as the land involved was a meager percentage of the land available for agriculture & such was the situation that the commerce ministry has to give the area details in Parliament, which was under SEZ use. It was a pity that when politicians across the country should have been assisting in promoting the land acquisition in view of the overall development of that area & industry, they went against the policy & the business houses keen in developing SEZ , only for their political benefits, by misguiding & playing with the sentiments of the common people.

When this was not enough the World was caught in the recession, one of the worst known economic crises of the recent times. It was the Indian cultural, style of savings & a parallel cash market economy which made very less impact on the Indians however the foreign trade was highly affected.

When the world started recovering & the economic crises was getting over, the shock for SEZ developers & investors came in the form of drawback of reliefs in the name of DTC, which otherwise is very good & on a positive sign.

With numerous efforts by the Commerce ministry, their Secretaries, various business associations & bodies trying to convince the Finance ministry ,through their presentation & the presentation from the various Industry experts to bring the benefits of SEZ policy as it was initially framed, all the efforts till date were futile & in vain.

There may be a very strong reason ,looking on the figures of Exports , Employment generated & the Huge investments coming from SEZ’s spread across the country, that the Finance Ministry is so adamant on withdrawing the benefits of taxation from SEZ policy, which will make this policy almost ineffective & loose its sheer charm.

a) Exports from SEZs : Rs. 22,840 crore in 2005-06 to Rs. 2,20,711 crore in 2009-10.
b) Investment in SEZs : Rs. 2793 crore, as on 31.3.2006 to Rs. 1,48,488 crore as on 31.3.2010.
c) Direct Employment in SEZs : 1,34,704 persons in March 2006 to 5,03,611 persons on 31st March, 2010.

Today’s Chanakya.

Today’s Chanakya tried to catch the pulse of the various industry experts & interviewed a random sample of 847 adult people between 25th June – 10th July 2010. Interviews were conducted across the country & Data were tabulated to the profile of all adults age 25 + including by age, Sex, Social class. Only persons involved in the decision making process with a knowledge of Export Import Policy & related directly to the International trade were interviewed.

Do you think that proposed changes in DTC for SEZ is breach of sovereign promise made by an Act of Parliament and it would be a shame for India?
Yes (89%); No (4%); No Idea/Can’t say (7%)

If DTC is implemented without any changes then would the SEZs be financially viable?
Yes (17%); No (74%); No Idea /Can’t say (9%)

Would there be an effect on overall exports from India?
Yes (87%); No (7%); No idea / Can’t say (6%)

Would there be an effect on FDI in India in SEZs?
Yes (86%); No (8%); No idea / Can’t say (6%)

Would there be an overall effect on FDI in India?
Yes (81%); No (6%); No idea / Can’t say (13%)

Do you agree that the argument of revenue leakage and area based development given in the revised draft is correct?
Yes (7%); No (64%); No Idea (10%); Can’t Say (19%)

Would there be impact on credibility of India as an investment destination?
Yes (81%); No (9%); No Idea / Can’t say (10%)

Do you think that if DTC is implemented without any changes, current SEZ Developers would not be able to realise their investment and in turn not able to repay the loan?
Yes (90%); No (2%); No Idea / Can’t say (8%)

Should government restore all the benefits of the SEZ Act in the DTC
Yes (93%); No (3%); No Idea / Can’t say (4%)

Do you feel that DTC would simplify the current Income Tax Act?
Yes (30%); No (19%); No Idea (23%); Can’t say (28%)

Are you satisfied with the revision of provision related to MAT in the revised discussion paper?
Yes (18%); No (46%); No Idea(20%); Can’t say (16%)

How would you overall rate the DTC after release of revised discussion paper?
Excellent(12%); Good(46%); Poor (11%); Very Poor(17%); Can’t Say(14%)

Do you feel that there would be better compliance and less litigation with new DTC?
Yes (38%); No (21%); No Idea(25%); Can’t say (16%)

The revised discussion paper on DTC released on 15.6.2010 has created huge uncertainty for the SEZ scheme, striking to the very fundamental basis of the scheme itself. SEZ Projects are long term projects & investors do need a long term continuity of the scheme for them to realize on their investments made on the infrastructure developments. It no more gives the message of long term stability and continuity of the Scheme. Without this promise, we are afraid, investment under the SEZ Scheme, from the international and domestic investors would be hugely & adversely impacted and which in turn would affect employment, exports and regional development. Since no new SEZ unit will come up in the SEZs, the development of all the SEZs will automatically stop & huge investment, by international and domestic investors, done in SEZ Scheme, based on the sovereign promise made by an Act of Parliament (SEZ Act) will put them into a state of confusion & financial crisis. The Revised Discussion Paper on DTC has come as a rude shock to all investors. Many countries in the world, including our neighboring countries like Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Vietnam, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines etc. are providing exemption from income tax to the investors under the SEZ Scheme. Hence large international and domestic investors may think of investing in such countries which will lead to drawing away investment, exports and employment from India. At a time when SEZ Scheme was doing extremely well in India and many international investors were showing tremendous interest in the Scheme, a very wrong message has been conveyed to the international investors that even an Act of Parliament, which was made operational just around 4 years back, can be altered at a very short notice.
Something has to be done to bring back the same old confidence in the investors.

About TODAYS CHANAKYA

Todays Chanakya is the registered TradeMark of RNB Research. We were the only one in India who predicted Congress victory for 200+ seats in Lok Sabha 2009 and our analysis was covered in Electronic as well as print media during Lok Sabha 2009.

We were the only one to forecast UK Elections 2010 with 100% accuracy level & our accuracy was appraised by many UK Research Companies.

RNB Research is one of the Asia’s leading full service market research agency with offices in India, China, UAE, UK & USA. We have developed 11 models of research exclusively for Asian Markets based on our 15 years of Extensive research analysis.

RNB Research offers expertise in wide range of industries including Automobiles, Banking & Financial Institutions, Consumer Products, Food & Beverages, Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare, Media, Retail, Telecommunication,Technology Products & Water Management.

© 2010 RNB Research-All rights reserved

Our Next Research:

1. Andhra Pradesh Telangana Bye Elections: Some Surprise Unbelievable findings coming up.
2. Australia PM Elections 2010: Opinion Poll coming shortly for the 21 August 2010 Elections.

“David Cameron – The Leader of Conservative Party is “INCHING” towards a Simple Majority ± 15 Seats.(Majority Plus / Minus 15 Seats): TODAYS CHANAKYA”

2010-05-03T23:55:00.000-07:00

The Telegraph.: New Delhi,India -- Monday, May 03, 2010 3:26:00 PM

The Labour party rule in U.K seems to be numbered: TODAYS CHANAKYA”

Our latest Monthly Opinion Poll on U.K Election – 6 May 2010, shows and predicts that the Conservatives on 37 %, Labour on 28 %, Liberal democrats on 26 % and Others on 9 %.

Our poll gives the Conservative 326 ± 15 seats (326 Plus / Minus 15 Seats) an overall majority, in the house of 650 seats.

Todays Chanakya New Delhi asked voters about the prospect of a hung Parliament in Great Britain. 74 % said they would prefer a majority government. Those who supported majority government were asked how they would prefer to get a majority. 37 % said Conservative and 29 % Labour.Mr. Cameron still seems to be the most capable Prime Minister in the present circumstances. Cameron is now 36 %, Brown 28 % and Clegg on 30 %. Mr. Clegg is seen as rather inexperienced (78%) but most honest (52%).

Remember that almost all the opinion poll commissioned - till today (3rd May 2010) by different agencies in U.K are projecting a hung Parliament in U.K Election 2010.

One matter merits more than a technical explanation in Great Britain. The Problem with all analysis of election is that they ultimately rest on the votes of individuals. Votes are almost necessarily treated as equal expression of support for everyone though a vote means very different things to different people. To some it is responding statement of faith in a leading party or on individual but not the party, to other it is marginal, almost random choice without knowing the differences in the issues and policies at the national level, which make the analysis some what more difficult for the pollsters. Remember that the voting statistics do have some accurate measurements attached to them, but pollsters should remember how varied in quality the bricks of various methods and steps that one is using are.

The traditional wellness in election commentary all over the world is tendency to focus on absolute figures. There is also a tendency in most election prediction in U.K to hedge towards middle to predict a close result. This is what the U.K leading agencies are looking at present and also in case of last general election 2005. To explain this phenomena in U.K leading agencies, we are having the data’s of the various agencies. Remember our final result of U.K 2005, USA 2004 and USA 2009 matches some what perfect,specially with reference to November USA 2004. Remember that every agency in USA on Opinion and Exit poll’s predicted –“Too Close To Call” where as we predicted George W. Bush, Clear winner in USA 2004 Presidential Election.

U.K Election 2005 Opinion Polls :

General Election Voting Intension : Great Britain 2005

Opinion Poll
1.Populus / Times : Survey End Date 24/04/05
Lab 41% , Con 33%, L Dem 19%, Labour Lead 8%

2. NOP/Independent : Survey End Date 24/04/05
Lab 40% , Con 30%, L Dem 21%, Labour Lead 10%

3. You Gov/ Telegraph : Survey End Date 24/04/05
Lab 37% , Con 33%, L Dem 24%, Labour Lead 4%

4. ICM/Mirror : Survey End Date 23/04/05
Lab 39% , Con 33%, L Dem 20%, Labour Lead 6%

5. Populus/ Times : Survey End Date 23/04/05
Lab 41% , Con 32%, L Dem 20%, Labour Lead 9%

6. You Gov/Sunday times : Survey End Date 23/04/05
Lab 37% , Con 33%, L Dem 23%, Labour Lead 4%

7. CommRes/Independent on Sunday : Survey End Date 22/04/05
Lab 40% , Con 35%, L Dem 18%, Labour Lead 5%

8. ICM/Sunday Telegraph : Survey End Date 22/04/05
Lab 39% , Con 33%, L Dem 21%, Labour Lead 6%

9. Populus/ Times : Survey End Date 22/04/05
Lab 40% , Con 33%, L Dem 20%, Labour Lead 7%

10. You Gov/ Telegraph : Survey End Date 21/04/05
Lab 37% , Con 34%, L Dem 22%, Labour Lead 3%

11. Populus/ Times : Survey End Date 20/04/05
Lab 39% , Con 34%, L Dem 20%, Labour Lead 5%

12. MORI/Sun : Survey End Date 19/04/05
Lab 39% , Con 32%, L Dem 22%, Labour Lead 7%

It certainly matters in any opinion poll that how representative of the entire population are. But it also matters regarding the number of people that were interviewed with reference to the degree of accuracy in history of any opinion poll of any country.

Methodology : Todays Chanakya New Delhi interviewed between 30th April and 2nd May 2010, demographically representative of all Great Britain adults,1856 random sample were collected. Remember data were weighted to be representative of all adults only and not by past vote recall, where Chances of Margin of Error is more than ± 3 %.

You can read : http://www.telegraphindia.com/external/display.jsp?mode=details&id=22449

About TODAYS CHANAKYA

Todays Chanakya is the registered TradeMark of RNB Research. We were the only one in India who predicted Congress victory for 200 seats in Lok Sabha 2009 and our analysis was covered in Electronic as well as print media during Lok Sabha 2009.

RNB Research is one of the Asia’s leading full service market research agency with offices in India, China, UAE, UK & USA.We have developed 11 models of research exclusively for Asian Markets based on our 15 years of Extensive research analysis.

RNB Research offers expertise in wide range of industries including Automobiles, Banking & Financial Institutions, Consumer Products, Food & Beverages, Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare, Media , Retail , Telecommunication & Technology Products.

Our Next Research:
Exit Poll on U.K Election 2010 is on 6th May 2010

© 2010 RNB Research-All rights reserved

Women’s Reservation Bill : Milestone in the History of Indian Democracy ?

2010-04-13T03:04:00.000-07:00

Todays Chanakya™ Poll: Women’s Reservation Bill : Milestone in the History of Indian Democracy ?

New Delhi, Delhi, India, Monday, March 29, 2010 --

To bring about gender equality in parliament and state assemblies, the women’s reservation bill was considered. Since 63 years of independence, the percentage of women in the LS has hovered between 7- 11%. In assemblies too the percentage of women is low. Therefore extraordinary measure taken through this bill if passed will be historic as per the research done by Today’s Chanakya.

Today’s Chanakya interviewed a random sample of 6443 adult people between 15th -24th March 2010. Interviews were conducted across the country in different regional languages. Data were collected to the profile of all adults age 21 + including by age, Sex, Social class, household, work status, literacy level , etc.

As per opinion of the public, the Women’s Reservation Bill will change the democracy rule in India. But it is a doubt and fear that it will empower women however it will certainly bring about radical changes in the way, the Indian democracy functions.
The reservation in Panchayat and local bodies were found encouraging as per the research samples.The ideal way to increase women’s representation for political parties would be to have quota for women & both reservation and quota system. However if this bill does cross the Lok sabha, of which the people across India are doubtful, will indeed be historic in Indian democracy.

At present there is no cap on political parties giving tickets to women candidates rather than reserving seat for them but the often repeated reason is that the women candidate cannot defeat established male- opponents. But also there is a fear that giving party ticket is no guarantee that a significant number of women would get elected.

Increase of strength of parliament and the assemblies is a solution of this huge cry and fear of losing the representation of men. But there is again a constitutional cap on increasing the strength of lok sabha till 2020 and huge space problem to sit and added government expenditure on these extra-elected representatives. If such proposals even get accepted a new delimitation would have to be taken as per our experts on this bill. However if this is set out than it could well change the rules of Indian democracy as per finding of this research.
Among many factors the women’s reservation bill if it passes in lok Sabha will indeed be a historic?

Yes (79%); No (14%); Can’t say (6%)

Whether the women’s reservation bill will bring about real political empowerment of women?

Yes (59%); No (31%); Can’t say (10%)

Do you feel that women’s reservation bill could bring about radical changes in the way the Indian Democracy functions?

Yes (64%); No (30%); Can’t say (6%)

According to the bill 1/3 rd of the seats in Lok Sabha and State Assemblies, which will be reserved for women, will become general seats in next election, is this a good pattern for reservation?

Excellent (43%); Good (33%); Bad (20%); Can‘t say (4%)

As per provision in the bill, 1/3rd of the seat incumbents, whether male or female, will have to sit out once in three elections. Is that such a bad thing or good thing?

Bad thing (23%); Good thing (72%); Can’t say (5%)

As per provision in the bill, when there is no guarantee that political candidates will be allowed to run again in the next election, will it result in lack of accountability?

Yes (19%); No (28%); Already they are unaccountable(48%); Cant Say 5%

Do you feel that the political parties are benefited by 1/3 rd reservation by rotation than individual?

Yes (49%); No (41%); Can’t say (10%)

Which is the ideal method to increase women’s reservation in politics :-

-- Quotas by political parties- (40%)

-- As per 1/3rd provision in bill- (35%)

-- Both partially- (25%)

Do you feel that the experience and lessons from reservation for women in panchayat & local bodies are encouraging and good?

Yes (64%); No (29%); Can’t say (7%)

What stops political parties from nominating more OBC women and minorities’ women in reserved constituencies?

-- Individual male supremacy-(40%)

-- Empowering women than men-(30%)

-- Both – (26%)

-- Can’t say- (4%)

Do you feel & fear that finally this women bill will be hold pending for next few years more as per circumstances created by some small regional political parties?

Yes (81%); No (13%); Can’t say (6%)

Do you know what is women’s reservation bill and its provision?

Yes (57%); No (36%); Can’t say (7%)

About TODAYS CHANAKYA

Todays Chanakya is the registered TradeMark of RNB Research. We were the only one in India who predicted Congress victory for 200+ seats in Lok Sabha 2009 and our analysis was covered in Electronic as well as print media during Lok Sabha 2009.

RNB Research is one of the Asia’s leading full service market research agency with offices in India, China, UAE, UK & USA.We have developed 11 models of research exclusively for Asian Markets based on our 15 years of Extensive research analysis.

RNB Research offers expertise in wide range of industries including Automobiles, Banking & Financial Institutions, Consumer Products, Food & Beverages, Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare, Media , Retail , Telecommunication,Technology Products & Water Management.

© 2010 RNB Research-All rights reserved

Our Next Research:

-- U.K. General Elections (Monthly Poll: April)

-- NREGA Research – Under Progress.

-- Research on BT & GM Food worldwide. – Under Progress.

To view the Women's Reservation Bill, please click on the link given below:

Women's Reservation Bill

U.K. Election Predications May 2010

2010-03-15T10:13:00.001-07:00

U.K. Election Predications May 2010 : Conservative party should have 30+ seats Majority

Budget Survey 2010- India

2010-03-09T09:37:00.000-08:00

74% of the people see Budget as Common Man Budget
But however
62% people feel fuel prices to be rolled back

What a “Common man” thinks about the LAW & JUSTICE situation in the country

2010-03-02T10:13:00.000-08:00

Delhi, India -- Thursday, January 28, 2010 3:05:00 PM

The Survey was conducted all across the country in a manner covering Gender, Caste, Age, Socio economic factors both at the Rural Bharat as well as the Urban India, In all the samples was for 17629 respondents during 5th Jan to 22nd Jan 2010 & some very interesting issues came in front.

The Ruchika-Rathore case was taken as a bench mark to start the research. The following facts came on the front. Surprisingly a large number of Indian Population were unaware of any such case owing to the low literacy level in the rural India & indicating a huge work required to improve the socio economic state of the country.

Most of the respondents felt that the Congress should try to capitalize & use the edge that they got by winning the last Lok Sabha elections owing to the scattered & unorganized opposition as a tool to garner this situation & mould it in such a way to yield maximum benefit for the country & in turn congress.

When asked if they knew about the Ruchika-Rathore case :33% of the Male respondents & surprisingly 51% of the female respondents had no idea of this leaving a wide gap on the issues that are happening on a national level, clearly indicating that the status of female population in India to be tapped & made educated.

Are you aware of Ruchika Rathore case ?

Male : Yes 63%; No 33%; DNT 4%

Female : Yes 47%; No 51%; DNT 2%

A large Indian population solidly believe that the powerful person “Do” make a impact on the judiciary system, moreover a large number of respondents preferred to be silent owing to the fear factor of the system & being used as a tool of this survey.

Do you think Powerful persons in India effect the Judicial System/LAW?

Male: Yes 72%; No 12%; DNT 16%
Female : Yes 47%; No 29%; DNT 24%

Do you think that the Judicial System in India is Correct?

Male: Yes 36%; No 52%; DNT 12%
Female : Yes 24%; No 65%; DNT 12%

A large number of respondents (65% Female, 52% Male) felt that the Judicial system is not correct in India, Female respondents showed a more aggressive & openly criticized then their male counterparts. When further this question was more bifurcated in terms of the standards of Judicial systems , we found as follows:

How do you Rate the Present Judicial System of India :

Male: Outdated 25%; Slow 40%; Very Slow 32%; DNT 3%
Female: Outdated 12%; Slow 35%; Very Slow 51%; DNT 2%

Meaning a stunning 97% of male respondents & 98% of female respondents found the current Law System Outdated/Slow/very Slow.

Do you have FAITH in the Indian Judiciary?

Male: Yes 47%; No 31%; DNT 22%
Female : Yes 41%; No 41%; DNT 18%

Unfortunately the trust & faith in the Judicial system has declined like never before to which a large number of respondents gave their nod. This is a alarming situation & need corrections in time, otherwise unfortunate & unexpected incidence of taking law in the hand may rise sharply because a large & a very high Indian population feels that amendments to the present Judicial system is a MUST.

When asked if they thought that the Central government should amend the constitution for faster delivery of Justice , a high number of respondents agreed on this & showed a clear message

Should the Constitution be amended for Faster Delivery of Justice:

Male: Very Much 47%; Yes 45%; No 3%; DNT 5%
Female : Very Much 24%; Yes 71%; No 6%; DNT 0%

A whopping 92% of males respondent & even higher 94% of female respondents did felt the NEED for the CHANGE of the Faster Delivery of JUSTICE.

Further a very large number of respondents (81% Males ; 76% Females) felt that the speedy delivery of Justice will result into effective & quality Justice, which is contrary to normal believe.

Will Speedy delivery of Justice result into Quality Justice:

Male: Yes 81%; No 9%; DNT 9%
Female : Yes 76%; No 6%; DNT 18%

The following simple remedies were suggested by the respondents for effective Judiciary:

1) Increase number of Courts
2) Increase number of Judges in the existing courts
3) Change constitution for faster Justice
4) Time bound delivery of the cases
5) Quick punishments to the Guilty
6) Reduction in number of Holidays for the Judiciary
7) Lesser Impact of Politicians on the Judiciary
8) Strong law on corruption
9) Increasing working Hours of the Courts
10) Two Shifts of Courts to avoid new Infrastructure

Two very strong points came during the survey:

1. A large number of respondents wanted to make the punishment & Penalties more strict :

Male: Yes 72%; No 14%; DNT 14%
Female : Yes 68%; No 15%; DNT 17%

2. An Equally large number of respondents felt that restricting the habit of lawyers on taking “DATES” as per their convenience & to delay the cases be controlled & this tool alone may speed up the cases to half the time as what is being taken today:

Male: Yes 87%; No 4%; DNT 9%
Female : Yes 71%; No 6%; DNT 23%

An overall view of the situation indicates that the Indian population by & large wanted strictly & strongly the amendments & faster disposal of the Cases, this will only be known to us in the times to come, that how the curent builders of the Modern India react to this demand from a “common man”

We end with the following popular quotes:

Justice Delayed is Justice Denyed
Delay of Justice is Injustice - W.S.landor

Methodology

The Survey Poll was conducted pan India from 5th Jan to 22nd Jan 2010, among 17629 adults. Figures for age,sex,race/ethnicity,region were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population.

Primary data was collected through AMERICAN Stratified methods of sampling so that the minimum error of sample exists and that too may be rectified.

After collection of representative data, these data’s were condensed in tabulation form to study their salient features. Where necessary these data’s are also put in to graphs & frequency distribution table. With the help of interpolation, the missing data were estimated for the primary representative data.

The model for TIME SERIES analysis is also used with original data.The different types of fluctuations were eliminated. Corrections of the estimations were checked through time reversal test.

About RNB Research

RNB Research is one of the Asia’s leading full service market research agency with offices in India, China, UAE, UK & USA. We have developed 11 models of research exclusively for Asian Markets based on our 15 years of extensive research analysis.RNB Research offers expertise in wide range of industries including Automobiles, Banking & Financial Institutions, Consumer Products, Food & Beverages, Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare, Media, Retail, Telecommunication & Technology Products.

Todays Chanakya is the registered TradeMark of RNB Research. We were the only one in India who predicted Congress victory for 200 seats in Lok Sabha 2009 and our analysis was covered in electronic as well as print media during Lok Sabha 2009

© 2010 RNB Research-All rights reserved

Our next feature is on the Central Governments famous & one of its Kind scheme in the world: NREGA- Its Curses & Cure.